By Harry Gagnon
Well, the NFL season is upon us as is legal sports wagering in the state of Arizona (where I live and is the latest state to legalize sports betting). I hope to do two things in regards to this article, number one is give some insight to my season long prop wagers for the 2021-22 NFL season and number two actually be able to put money in your pockets by seasons end.
AFC EAST
OVER 11 WINS +125 BUFFALO BILLS
-Buffalo had 13 wins last season, are 10-1 in their last 11 games at home, and the S. Diggs trade may turn out to be the greatest trade in Bills history.
UNDER 9.5 WINS -115 MIAMI DOLPHINS
-I just don't trust Tua and he doesn't have Ryan Fitzpatrick to save him anymore.
UNDER 9 WINS -140 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
-Speaking of not trusting players, I don't have confidence in Cam Newton being able throw the deep ball and stay healthy.
OVER 6 WINS -115 NEW YORK JETS
-New Coach, New QB, New Attitude in New York! Plus, the Sam Darnold project has come to a close and rookie Zach Wilson (big expectations on him) looked really good with 2 TD passes in the second preseason game and is going to be extremely productive. Also, another rookie, Michael Carter from UNC should help the Jets offense that really struggled with Darnold at the helm.
AFC NORTH
OVER 10.5 WINS +125 CLEVELAND BROWNS
-Beckham is back and Baker Mayfield is only getting better. The Browns have the best 1-2 RB duo in the league with Chubb and Hunt. Plus, the Cleveland took care of some defensive issues by resigning Denzel Ward and drafting cornerback from Northwestern greg Newsome in the first round.
UNDER 11 WINS -110 BALTIMORE RAVENS
-Defensively I don't think they did anything to improve their secondary that was 23rd in picks. Lamar Jackson is electric, but the Ravens should have went after Julio Jones considering they are last in passing yards the last two seasons.
UNDER 8.5 WINS -110 PITTSBURGH STEELERS
-Big Ben is 39 and if he goes down like two season ago it is over for Pittsburgh who have Haskins and Rudolph to replace him. The Steelers also were last in running the ball in the league a season ago (so unlike a Pittsburgh Steelers team).
OVER 6.5 WINS -120 CINCINNATI BENGALS
-Joe Burrow is back and he has his LSU teammate Ja'Marr Chase to throw the ball to.
AFC SOUTH
OVER 9 WINS -150 TENNESSEE TITANS
-Derrick Henry is a beast and Ryan Tannehill since coming over from Miami has 66 total touchdowns. That type of production will outshine a below average defense.
UNDER 8.5 WINS +100 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Issues at QB and a killer schedule to start the season could be the demise of Indy this season.
UNDER 6.5 WINS -125 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
-This number is way too high and it's based on what Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence did in college. This Jags teams has many holes and that includes losing their other 1st round pick Travis Etienne for the season in their second preseason game against the Saints.
UNDER 4 WINS +120 HOUSTON TEXANS
-This team has so many issues they have deal with. To start, not knowing the status of star Deshaun Watson sucks and then also trying to figure out who will be the leader on defense with JJ Watt now in Arizona.
AFC WEST
UNDER 12.5 WINS -150 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
-The Chiefs were fortunate last season with 8 wins by 6 points or less and they have Buffalo, Tennessee, Cleveland, Baltimore and the Packers on their schedule.
OVER 10.5 WINS +110 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
-Herbert was very impressive and the surging Chargers get the NFC East plus the Texans on their schedule.
UNDER 8.5 WINS -115 DENVER BRONCOS
-Denver's defense gave up 26 points or more 11 times a season ago and I'm not a believer in quarterbacks Drew Lock or Teddy Bridgewater either.
UNDER 6.5 WINS +135 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
-GM Mike Mayock and head coach Jon Gruden have not been on the same page since both landed with the Raiders. Oh and their defense is simply the worst.
AFC PLAYER PROPS
OVER 3850.5 PASSING YARDS -110 JETS Z. WILSON
-Like I said earlier he is going to show all of New York, Sam Darnold was the issue and not the O-Line or not having quality receivers or running backs or.....any other issue the media made up to protect Darnold.
OVER 825.5 RECEIVING YARDS -110 BENGALS TYLER BOYD
-Boyd has 3,000 combined yards in the last 3 seasons (2 seasons over 1000 yards).
UNDER 3400.5 PASSING YARDS -110 RAVENS LAMAR JACKSON
-Since 2014 only 1 Ravens QB under John Harbaugh (2014 Joe Flacco) has reached 3400 yards and again, the Ravens have been the poorest passing team in the league.
UNDER 4150.5 PASSING YARDS -110 JAGUARS TREVOR LAWRENCE
-Lawrence & the Jags offense haven't looked good in the preseason. Plus only Blake Bortles in 2015 has gone over 4150 yards passing for the Jags in the last 20+ seasons.
OVER 650.5 RECEIVING YARDS -110 BRONCOS NOAH FANT
-Fant led Denver in receptions and had 673 yards last season and don't forget about the extra game each team gets this year.
Good luck everyone and please please please !!!! Keep 'Cashin Tickets
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